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Old 12-13-2019, 04:00 PM
Publius Publius is offline
 
Join Date: Nov 2019
Posts: 49
Default 538 Political Race Polling Tool

I watch 538 pretty closely. It's a site created and overseen by Nate Silver, who is a statistician that correctly predicted a number of election outcomes and does so at a much higher degree of accuracy than previously possible.

This year, and thankfully rather early on, 538 has created a tool to track a number of races, including the Democratic nominee for President of the United States.

I wanted to share this tool with everyone so that they would have it handy.

If you'd like to know how it was made and why, there's an article on it here.

As far as I am aware, this site and this team have been the most accurate predictors of election outcomes since they arrived on the scene in 2008.

Let me know if you see anything interesting. For right now, the most obvious information is that the rumors of Biden's struggles and demise may have been greatly exaggerated. And why not? It's not interesting if it's not competitive. The numbers though; the actual numbers... tell a story about a race that is not now, nor has it ever been, all that close.
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